Fundamental Analysis Posted 8 hours ago

Fed's Daly Speaks (Aug 20)

News
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly spoke on 20 August, saying there is no evidence supporting preemptive rate hikes and that rising bond yields do not signal a policy shift. She said the inflation goal has been missed by quite a bit while soft prints leave the picture unclear, saw no broad inflation spillover from the AI buildout, and described the job market as stable and not currently driving inflation. Her remarks follow July FOMC minutes that showed three dissents for a 25bp hike. Live updates below.
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Latest Updates

7 hours ago

Fed's Daly: No Evidence Supporting Preemptive Rate Hikes

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly stated there is insufficient evidence to justify preemptive rate increases, signaling a dovish stance amid hawkish repricing following July FOMC dissents. This counters market expectations for aggressive September tightening, potentially softening near-term USD strength as traders reassess the Fed's hiking path beyond initial 25bp moves.

7 hours ago

Fed's Daly: Rising Bond Yields Don't Signal Policy Shift

Federal Reserve President Mary Daly stated that rising bond yields do not provide a signal for policy changes, pushing back against market expectations of imminent rate cuts. This dovish commentary contradicts the hawkish repricing from July FOMC dissents and complicates September rate-path expectations that traders are currently pricing. USD may face headwinds if markets interpret this as less restrictive policy ahead.

https://x.com/FirstSquawk/status/2090417129669726418
7 hours ago

Fed's Daly: Inflation shocks expected to dissipate

Fed President Daly stated the modal outlook expects inflation shocks to dissipate, signaling confidence in disinflation. This dovish commentary contrasts with recent hawkish Fed repricing after July FOMC minutes showed three dissents for a 25bp hike, potentially tempering near-term rate-hike bets and supporting USD weakness in EUR/USD and GBP/USD ahead of September policy decisions.

https://x.com/financialjuice/status/2090417585888125127
7 hours ago

Fed's Daly: No Signs of More Worrying Inflation Emerging

Fed President Daly stated she is not seeing signs of more concerning inflation, suggesting a dovish tilt amid hawkish Fed repricing. This dovish commentary counteracts the three dissents for a 25bp hike seen in July FOMC minutes and could ease near-term rate-hike expectations for September, weighing on USD across major pairs.

https://x.com/financialjuice/status/2090417888922398766
7 hours ago

Fed's Daly: Job market not driving inflation currently

Federal Reserve President Mary Daly stated the job market is not contributing to inflation pressures. This dovish signal contrasts with recent hawkish Fed repricing after July FOMC dissents, potentially easing USD strength ahead of September rate-path clarity and Friday's PMI/retail-sales data.

https://x.com/financialjuice/status/2090418114060014073
7 hours ago

Fed's Daly: Job market stable, no signs of faltering

San Francisco Fed President Daly said the job market is showing "uncomfortable stability" with no signs of deterioration. This hawkish commentary supports the Fed's September rate-hike path now being repriced after July FOMC minutes showed three dissents for a 25bp move. USD pairs likely to extend gains as rate expectations firm ahead of Friday's labour-market data.

https://x.com/financialjuice/status/2090419794042319238
7 hours ago

Fed's Daly: No broad inflation spillover from AI buildout

San Francisco Fed President Daly said she is not seeing broad inflation spillover from AI infrastructure investment, suggesting limited price-pressure risks from the sector. This dovish signal contrasts with hawkish Fed repricing after July FOMC minutes showed three dissents for a 25bp hike, potentially weighing on USD strength and September rate-hike expectations.

https://x.com/financialjuice/status/2090420010439086452
7 hours ago

Fed's Daly: Soft inflation prints leave picture unclear

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said two recent softer inflation readings haven't resolved the inflation outlook, suggesting the Fed remains cautious on rate cuts. This reinforces hawkish repricing after July FOMC minutes showed three dissents for a 25bp hike, supporting the September hold narrative and USD strength.

https://x.com/financialjuice/status/2090420417580216445
7 hours ago

Fed's Daly says inflation goal missed by quite a bit

Fed President Daly stated the Fed is missing its 2% inflation target by a significant margin, signaling dovish concern over undershooting. This counters hawkish Fed repricing after July dissents and weakens the September rate-hike narrative traders have been pricing; USD faces downward pressure as markets reassess terminal rates.

https://x.com/financialjuice/status/2090420578633011445

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