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Fundamental Analysis

Weak payrolls signal dovish turn; USD weakness persists

Friday's below-forecast nonfarm payrolls delivered the first dovish signal in a five-test countdown to September FOMC, supporting USD downside. Wednesday's CPI print is the next critical test; a 0.1% MoM headline would reinforce dovish expectations. JPY benefits from post-intervention short rebuilding as risk-off sentiment favors safe-haven flows.

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