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Fundamental Analysis Posted 2 hours ago

Geopolitical risks steady; rate cycle focus dominates FX

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Gulf escalation, Russia-Ukraine peace talks, and German far-right gains are absorbed by FX markets as secondary drivers. Major economies still pricing 60–90bp tightening cycles; resilient growth and elevated energy costs support the dollar. Rate expectations—not geopolitics—are directing pair moves this week ahead of PMI and jobless-claims data.
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