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Breaking Posted 21 hours ago

Traders price full Fed rate hike probability for October

News
Market pricing shifted to fully reflect a Fed rate hike in October following PPI data release, signaling hawkish repricing. USD strengthens as rate expectations rise; EUR/USD and GBP/USD pressured lower. Matters to traders tracking September FOMC path and October terminal rate odds.
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21 hours ago

Fed rate-hike bets edge up as short-term futures slip

Short-term interest-rate futures declined slightly following economic data, while traders increased positioning for a Fed rate hike in September. The repricing reflects hawkish Fed rhetoric and July FOMC dissents favoring a 25bp move, driving USD strength as rate differentials widen against major peers.

https://x.com/FirstSquawk/status/2098028071861498245
20 hours ago

US bond yields hit multiyear highs; oil surge fuels rate-hike bets

US government bond yields extended their climb to fresh multiyear highs as oil prices surged, prompting traders to increase bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike as soon as next week. Rising energy costs stoke inflation expectations, supporting hawkish Fed repricing ahead of the September decision. USD strength likely follows.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-10/us-bond-yields-extend-climb-as-oil-advance-stokes-rate-hike-bets
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