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Breaking Posted 1 hour ago

Trump escalates Iran tensions; oil markets eye Strait of Hormuz

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Trump administration is intensifying confrontation with Iran, raising geopolitical risk premium in energy markets. Experts warn cycle may repeat without new outcomes. Oil price volatility directly affects USD/CAD, commodity currencies, and emerging-market FX; risk-off sentiment typically supports USD strength despite crowded positioning.
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19 minutes ago

IEA warns Strait of Hormuz closure risks energy crisis

IEA Executive Director Birol stated the Strait of Hormuz must reopen within weeks to prevent a global energy crisis amid renewed Iran conflict concerns. Markets are nervous about supply disruption risk. Oil price volatility will drive commodity-linked currencies including CAD, NOK, and RUB; USD may strengthen on safe-haven demand.

https://x.com/FirstSquawk/status/2077534211624607843
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