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Breaking Posted 2 hours ago

US-Iran escalation pushes oil higher, Fed hike odds rise

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Fresh US-Iran military strikes drove oil prices and bond yields sharply higher, shifting Fed expectations toward a September rate hike after July FOMC minutes showed three dissents for a 25bp move. Oil strength and hawkish repricing support USD and weigh on commodity-linked currencies; traders now focus on PMI and jobless claims to confirm growth trajectory.
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1 hour ago

Middle East tensions lift crude oil and European gas prices

Crude oil and diesel cracks strengthened while European gas hit its highest level since 2023 as Middle East escalation intensified and Persian Gulf LNG export recovery expectations faded. Energy-sensitive currencies like NOK and RUB may see modest support, but the market is currently fixated on Fed rate expectations and Friday's PMI data; this story has limited near-term FX traction.

https://think.ing.com/articles/the-commodities-feed-further-escalation-pushes-the-energy-complex-higher020926/
1 hour ago

Brent Crude Targets $102 on Iran Supply Risk; Gold Retreats Below $4,300

Iran escalation is lifting Brent toward $102 via supply concerns, while gold cracks below $4,300 as rising rate expectations outweigh geopolitical safe-haven demand. Higher oil prices fuel inflation expectations, pushing real yields higher and reducing bullion's opportunity cost appeal. The rate channel is currently dominating gold's directional bias.

https://www.actionforex.com/action-insight/market-overview/652590-iran-escalation-pushes-brent-toward-102-as-gold-cracks-4300/
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