stay alive long enough for probabilities to work

I was listening to Mark Douglas today, and he was talking about how the urge to trade big lot sizes has destroyed many a trader. And at first all I thought was that if I have a good strategy why shouldnt I have the confidence to trade big lot sizes? But then he explained that in trading there is a 50/50 chance of winning/losing so if you lose all your money on one trade then you wont have funds to keep trading when the probability is in your favor. Thoughts?

M
@maasai_princess - 4 months ago

Overconfidence kills, it causes you to forget that every trade is 50/50 probability. It makes you feel you have the market figured out 😂

H
@hosea_makelele - 4 months ago

The market doesnt reward confidence, it rewards discipine.

Its just another way of saying trading is a game of probabilities so you have to play your strategy long enough for the odds to go in your favor. If you burn out and crash out of the sky early then you will never know if the odds would have been in your favor.

H
@headies25284 - 4 months ago

The market tends to reveal you to yourself. The market is a revealer. Trading is all about the discovery of yourself.

M
@mr_casey - 3 months ago

One needs to trade for one month straight without missing a single trading day, before he can truly see if his strategy works profitably.

H
@headies25284 - 3 months ago

Only those who appreciate risk management can stay alive trading wise till probability works. This is why we emphasize the place of risk management in trading. Don’t lose your entire funds on one trade knowingly fully well that there are more opportunities in the market. I advise you risk 0.5% of your account on any trade.

K
@kehinde - 3 months ago
Quoted - headies25284

Well you are right about this but even if they trade prop firm account and no proper risk management, they will be back to ground zero.

Risk management is still related to your account balance. For example you cannot set a wide stop loss if you have a small account balance

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