Best Price-Action Strategy to trade XAUUSD and XAGUSD

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@asuquokelvin - 6 hours ago
Quoted - nsg_usd

XAUUSD- The Flag held, as price relied on it for a rally, on CPI release.

I knew CPI would come out bad, I will soon update my fundamental thread but I don't really think it's time yet to declare dxy bearish

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@asuquokelvin - 6 hours ago
Quoted - nsg_usd

BTC- update- Price rallies as CPI came out lower than previous.

But the bearish outlook is still visible, and price can still invalidate that move except price holds above 64221.68

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@asuquokelvin - 6 hours ago
Quoted - nsg_usd

Well, XAUUSD proves otherwise.

I meant technically not been supported by a fundamental, and if the lower highs is not totally taken out price can still fall from that level showing invalidation

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@asuquokelvin - 6 hours ago
Quoted - nsg_usd

I'll rather have my technicals prove me wrong. Technical confluences has been working and well proven way before the invent of SMCs and modern trading rules.. Nothing beats good old-fashioned pure price action.

A major Support remains valid as long as price keeps respecting it and it keep causing rebounds, not necessarily until it breaks another one. Price levels for rebounds may change around the region, but that does'nt mean the support is invalidated, until there's a valid break below it, flipping the same zone to a Resistance zone.

That is one of the reason why we get stopped out most of the times, believing on a support level, I rather wait for that reaction than trading a local support because it's a support level, you get stopped out multiple times because those zones are often used as liquidity levels to move price even while numbers, I didn't say support don't work but you have to be sure through reactions

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@asuquokelvin - 6 hours ago
Quoted - nsg_usd

Alright. I'll be watching out for this pattern play next on XAUUSD.

That's a good idea, but don't treat it as a solid pullbacks because there could be invalidation, just wait for reactions around the level

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@nsg_usd - 6 hours ago
Quoted - nsg_usd

Alright. I'll be watching out for this pattern play next on XAUUSD.

Despite the CPI release, XAUUSD is unable to break above the bearish channel. I'll still be expecting bearish reactions from the 4089 internal resistance region that confluences with the trendline.

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@nsg_usd - 4 hours ago
Quoted - asuquokelvin

That is one of the reason why we get stopped out most of the times, believing on a support level, I rather wait for that reaction than trading a local support because it's a support level, you get stopped out multiple times because those zones are often used as liquidity levels to move price even while numbers, I didn't say support don't work but you have to be sure through reactions

I know reactions that will stop me out, and the ones that won't when trading these support region. Most of my trading leans more on experiences than from popular trading knowledge.

Double bottoms are best believed to always be swept. but that's not always the case. Same thing with Local Support levels. Sweeps are no different from fakeouts, and with experience, fakeouts are trading opportunities to be maximized not to be avoided.

LTF sweeps is what stops out most traders, because SMC adopts extremely tight Sls. What real Institutions are not even adopting.

The Crown Strategy helps spots Fakeouts and minimizes chances of having Sls swept when applied correctly. Not all trades demand tight Sls.

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@nsg_usd - 1 hour ago
Quoted - asuquokelvin

But the bearish outlook is still visible, and price can still invalidate that move except price holds above 64221.68

BTC- going as expected. Price intends to fully break above the high 64800 at today's daily close. Still watching.

G
@godspowerdan - 54 minutes ago
Quoted - nsg_usd

BTC- update- Price rallies as CPI came out lower than previous.

Price has broken out from that range but it has broken with a full body candle, so i'm still neutral about it

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