BTCUSDT

If BTC breaks the strong high, I'm still not interested in immediately hitting buy.

Why?

Because I want the breakout to create my next POI.

I'll identify the demand responsible for taking the high and wait for BTC to retrace into it.

That gives me:

Better entry.

Clearer invalidation.

Better R:R.

Let price come back to me.

I'm preparing for two outcomes.

Scenario A: BTC breaks the 15M strong high around $79.5K, retraces into demand and confirms my bullish setup.

Scenario B: BTC fails to break the high and trades back below the recent demand structure.

If B happens, I don't force the bullish narrative.

Price decides. I react.

Bitcoin swept the downside liquidity around $77.6K and delivered a strong bullish reaction.

Now price is approaching the key 15M strong high around $79.5K.

I'm not buying yet.

I want to see that strong high taken with convincing bullish displacement. If that happens, I'll mark the demand responsible for the breakout and wait for price to retrace into it.

From there, I'll look for bullish confirmation and a potential long.

🎯 First objective: $80.5K–$80.6K

🎯 Larger objective: $82.27K

Liquidity has been taken.

Now I need structure.

Then I'll use the POI for execution.

No confirmation, no trade.

Price has finally broken that protected high and it has retraced. I will wait for it to trigger my buy limit

I am already on the BTC trade holding my position

I got stopped out on this trade

It's because that demand you entered from was an inducement

The current demand zone around 82,800–83,100 is being tested after strong selling pressure from the 84,468 key level.

Price is not showing the type of bullish response I would want to see from demand. Instead, sellers are repeatedly pressing lower.

The key idea: a demand zone is only valid while buyers can defend it.

If selling pressure continues, this zone can fail and expose lower liquidity.

Bitcoin rejected from the 84,468 resistance area and has since experienced aggressive downside displacement.

Now price is sitting inside the marked demand zone.

Rather than assuming demand must hold, I'm watching the order flow:

Key level rejection → strong selling → demand retest → potential demand failure.

The stronger the selling pressure becomes, the less convincing the demand zone looks.

The demand zone around 82.8K–83.1K is currently under significant pressure.

Price previously rallied from this area, but the current context is different: sellers are coming from a major level and have demonstrated strong displacement.

That changes the probability of a clean reaction.

If buyers cannot reclaim the nearby structure, the demand zone may become a liquidity pool rather than a launchpad.

The important level on this chart is 84,468.

Price pushed into that area, failed to continue higher, and subsequently sold off aggressively.

Now we are testing demand.

The mistake would be to look at the grey demand box in isolation.

Context matters.

When price is selling aggressively from a key resistance level, demand must prove itself before being trusted.

A demand zone isn't an automatic buy zone.

BTC is currently showing:

🔴 Rejection from key resistance

🔴 Strong bearish displacement

🔴 Persistent selling pressure

🔴 Retest of demand

The reaction from 82.8K–83.1K will tell us whether buyers can actually defend the area.

Until that happens, I remain cautious about assuming a bullish reaction.

Bitcoin's move from the 84,468 area has been aggressive.

Price didn't simply drift lower—it displaced lower and is now pressing directly into demand.

This matters because strong momentum into a support zone can weaken the zone through repeated testing.

The question isn't:

"Is there demand here?"

The question is:

"Is there enough demand to absorb the selling?"

The marked demand zone is visible, but zones don't trade themselves.

Price is currently showing bearish pressure after rejection from the 84,468 key level.

If buyers were truly in control, we would want to see:

✅ Strong rejection

✅ Bullish displacement

✅ Reclaim of nearby structure

Without those confirmations, the demand zone remains vulnerable.

The market has moved from the upper key level directly into demand.

That creates an important battle:

Buyers: trying to defend 82.8K–83.1K

Sellers: maintaining pressure after the 84,468 rejection

My focus is on the reaction, not on blindly buying the box.

A clean breakdown would confirm that sellers have overwhelmed the demand.

BTC is currently around the demand area after a sharp bearish move.

The key reference points are:

📌 Resistance: 84,468

📌 Demand: ~82,800–83,100

📌 Current price: ~82,974

The bearish thesis strengthens if price continues accepting below demand rather than producing a meaningful bullish displacement.

This is a reaction-based setup, not a prediction.

Bitcoin is selling from a major level, and the downside pressure is now testing the demand zone.

The sequence is clear:

84,468 rejection → bearish displacement → demand retest → potential breakdown.

If demand fails to produce a strong bullish reaction, the next phase could be a continuation toward lower liquidity.

The important lesson:

Never assume a demand zone will hold simply because price has reacted from it before. Context and order flow matter.

I was looking to long BTC as well today.
Entry: 82800
SL: 80,000

Price didn't sustain the buys it started and held since Asian session. And with the daily not closing bullish as I expected, I'll look for confirmation tomorrow.

BTC sell setup 📉

Price reacted strongly from supply, swept liquidity, and then broke structure to the downside.

Sell: 86,211.75

SL: 86,744.44

TP: 83,842.45

Waiting for the retracement rather than chasing.

The bearish confirmation is there.

BTC rejected supply, took liquidity, and delivered a clean BOS to the downside.

My plan: sell the retracement at 86,211.75.

SL: 86,744.44

TP: 83,842.45