does unemployment rate affect the exchange rate of a currency?

Does the unemployment rate in a country have an effect on the exchange rate of the country's currency? If yes, how can I use this to my advantage when trading forex?

R
@robert_sondreli - 4 months ago

Yes, the unemployment rate of a country can weaken/strengthen its currency because a high unemployment rate means people are not being productive hence the country's GDP will fall.

A country with a low GDP will not attract many foreign investors thus reducing the demand for its currency.

On the other hand, a country with a low unemployment rate means more people are being productive, working, and paying taxes so the country's GDP will increase.

A high GDP attracts foreign investors who will convert their foreign currency into the local currency thus making the local currency to strengthen.

If the US has been recording falling unemployment rate for several months, while the Swiss unemployment rate has stayed the same over the same period, then the USD/CHF exchange rate is bound to rise because the pound will weaken.

R
@robert_sondreli - 4 months ago

In 2014, the US dollar rallied and gained strength because the US unemployment rate kept falling, please read further via this Bloomberg news article: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2014-06-06/dollar-declines-as-fed-seen-unmoved-by-may-u-s-jobs-increase

Yes, it does and that's why people trade USD pairs immediately after the Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) US jobs report is released every month. The us dollar exchange rate will mostly rise or fall depending on the content of the NFP report.