NFP Trading Strategy (real-time & backtesting)

The image shows the historical NFP release dates from January this year to date. It will help us in backtesting and researching PA

The NFP Strategy

After NFP is released, switch to the 15-minute timeframe, and wait for the first 15M candle to form. The high/low of the 15 M NFP candle acts as resistance/support respectively.

FRI 07 AUG 2026 Backtest

The first 15M candle that forms after the NFP release should be noted, and its high and low should act as key levels of resistance/support

Sell after spotting bearish engulfing pattern at the high of the NFP candle

Please what is the windows shortcut key for searching calendar dates on TradingView?

Alt+G

THU 02 JULY 2026 Backtest

On this day, the 15M NFP candle was bullish, and the play was to sell after price rejected at the high of the NFP candle.

Exit strategy here is to hold the sell trade till price drops to the low of the NFP candle before exiting.

Basically we hold the trade from one end of the 15M NFP candle to the other end.

FRI 5th JUNE 2026 Backtest

For this NFP day, it was different because price broke out of the 15M NFP candle low, tried to reverse upwards but sellers pushed price down. So the play here would be to look for a bearish reversal pattern on the 5-minute time frame and sell accordingly.

FRI 4th SEP 2026 Backtest

On Friday price tested the low of the NFP candle before the weekend break, and on Monday price went upwards and broke through the high of the NFP candle.

FRI 2nd OCT 2026 LIVE

After NFP was released this afternoon, I went to the 5 minute time frame for Gold and marked out the high and low of the first 5 min candle that formed after NFP release. Once price broke out of the NFP-low range, I went short and placed my SL above the lower NFP line

I was able to cover the short for 253 pips profit

This is an interesting NFP trading strategy. I'll like to learn this.

The sells was a good catch. and it is still selling.