EURUSD outlook

One rejection doesn't create a downtrend.

One failed breakout doesn't invalidate a bullish market.

Structure always carries more weight than individual candles.

I'm watching this resistance carefully.

If buyers can absorb the selling pressure here, new highs become increasingly likely.

If not, a deeper retracement into demand could offer the next opportunity.

Patience is a trading edge.

There's no need to force an entry when price is approaching a major reaction zone.

Sometimes the best trade is waiting.

Current expectation:

• Test higher liquidity.

• Watch for seller response.

• If rejection creates a bearish break of structure, expect a pullback.

• If buyers defend structure, trend continuation remains likely.

The market has rewarded buyers since the recent breakout.

Now we're approaching the first real test of bullish strength.

Resistance isn't where I panic.

It's where I pay attention.

Price moves in phases:

Expansion.

Consolidation.

Retracement.

Expansion again.

Recognizing which phase you're in is often more valuable than predicting the next candle.

EURUSD Market Update 📈

The bullish trend remains intact, but price is now trading just beneath a significant resistance zone around 1.1563–1.1579.

I'm watching for two scenarios:

✅ A liquidity sweep into resistance followed by a healthy pullback.

✅ A decisive breakout that confirms buyers are ready for another leg higher.

Until sellers produce a clear bearish break of structure, the higher-timeframe bias remains bullish.

Price has a mind of its own and will always, it does what its thing and we follow we don't force it, that's a good liquidity sweep idea let's just wait for NFP then see the outcome

The market can be very slow and unpredictable just because it is waiting for an economic data release , after NFP we will know the side to follow

The reference point @ 1.14997 has not been broken at all and price is showing possibilities of trading above the previous highs

Your liquidity reference is the point I circled right? If so then price has not offered an opportunity because that is the premium level of price movement, I think this NFP will give dxy some strength for recovery at least

But the pullback isn't enough at all, and for me it's a shallow pullback

Considering the overall move for EU that place is not a demand, that is still premium

If price sweeps liquidity on EU the way it's projected here, then it means EU trend will change back to bearish again, although I don't really know how the outcome will look like, but I will trade what price present

But has not broken below the reference zone I marked, I am just waiting for NFP

That will Be determined after the NFP data release, if buyers are in control or there will be a retracement down to demand

The point is that no one knows the direction yet untill the data release, it may support short term dxy really and it may support EU buys

Exactly. Momentum can slow without changing the overall trend. As long as the market continues respecting higher lows and no bearish break of structure occurs, buyers still have the technical advantage. watching for bullish continuation after any corrective pullback rather than assuming the trend has reversed simply because momentum has eased.

That is a higher timeframe bearish level but if price wants to reverse from there we will definitely see the reaction although price can reverse from there to the demand level where it bought from then buy from the demand level again

On EU two things are involved price will either sell on positive NFP to demand level or NFP may come as negative and price sells to demand and buy immediately so watch the NFP reaction closely