EURUSD outlook

One thing I don't want to do on EURUSD this week:

Short simply because price is at resistance.

Location gives me interest.

Structure and confirmation give me the trade.

The 4H remains bearish, so I'm watching for price to realign with that direction.

EURUSD is currently sitting around the 1.1568 area that I've marked as a key weekly level.

The interesting part is that the 4H structure is still bearish.

If price fails to establish a new bullish structure from here, I’ll be watching for the bearish trend to resume.

The bigger picture matters.

EURUSD pushed higher from the July lows, but that doesn't automatically mean the 4H bearish structure has been completely invalidated.

Price is now approaching a major weekly level.

This is where I want to see what the market actually does—not what I want it to do.

I'm treating the current EURUSD move as a pullback until proven otherwise.

The 4H structure remains my main directional reference.

Price has now reached a weekly key level.

If sellers regain control and structure shifts bearish again, that could complete the pullback and open the door for continuation lower.

EURUSD analysis is simple for me this week:

Key level → reaction → confirmation → execution.

We're currently at the key-level stage.

The reaction is developing.

Now I wait for confirmation on the lower timeframe before looking for a short.

Price doesn't have to reverse immediately from the weekly level.

It can consolidate.

It can take liquidity.

It can push higher first.

That's why I'm not entering just because we've reached resistance.

I want the market to show me that the 4H bearish narrative is coming back into play.

Price doesn't have to reverse immediately from the weekly level.

It can consolidate.

It can take liquidity.

It can push higher first.

That's why I'm not entering just because we've reached resistance.

I want the market to show me that the 4H bearish narrative is coming back into play.

Price doesn't have to reverse immediately from the weekly level.

It can consolidate.

It can take liquidity.

It can push higher first.

That's why I'm not entering just because we've reached resistance.

I want the market to show me that the 4H bearish narrative is coming back into play.

New week. New EURUSD setup.

Price has traded into a weekly key level around 1.1568.

My 4H bias remains bearish.

Now I'm waiting to see whether price will realign with that bearish trend.

If sellers take control, I'll look for the lower-timeframe confirmation.

Until then, patience.

I saw this just now and i'm not missing this

Yeah my expectations actually. But NFP has taken price higher

Price traded higher into that key level and is reacting there. I don't know if that level will hold

I said last week that NFP reaction may not really be strong or impulsive the way we expected, and that was what happened, looking at the daily, price is actually in a good daily poi, watching the 4hrs for a reversal, a sweep above 1.15804 will give me that confirmation

I am anticipating a potential reversal on EU

Price has traded higher again with the help of NFP release