Major USD Pairs Discussion | Daily Market Breakdown

Quoted - nsg_usd

GBPUSD-Quick scalp. Tp Hit.

Will wait for invalidation of the TP price level, then look for another sell opportunities.

GBP USD has already invalidated my setup since I trade only New York, it has delivered price during London so my setup on it has invalidated already so I'll be looking at EU for sells

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@nsg_usd - 1 day ago
Quoted - asuquokelvin

GBP USD has already invalidated my setup since I trade only New York, it has delivered price during London so my setup on it has invalidated already so I'll be looking at EU for sells

Alright. This is the overall picture I had on GBPUSD.
I'll still look to catch the sells if I see another entry to ride it down to this Buy entry level.

Quoted - nsg_usd

No. I don't think so. Not every movement in USD-related pair is primarily dollar related. AUD is risk-sensitive currency. And as US-Iran conflict is easing up, investors will move back to high yielding assets and currencies like AUD.

Yes, dollar (USD) weakness can contribute, but it's not the primary reason it is buying.

I know AUD is a risky asset so if the war tension reduces investors actually look into risky assets that's in a risk on environment but now we are in a risk off environment investors as still scared if not EURUSD won't be selling when dxy is weak because EU is also in the same category for me I will say AUD is just been strong because of dollar weakness not really because we have actually gone above risk off environment into a risk on environment

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@nsg_usd - 1 day ago
Quoted - godspowerdan

The chart says a lot

The correlation is positive on both pairs

Yeah. Yeah. The Chart is just the best weapon to survive the big sharks you're trading against as a retail trader. Everything affecting the financial markets shows here. Even though the feeds too are not so detailed in Trading View, except you subscribe to it.
There's more to fundamentals than it is being led on, for retail traders. Understanding how it affects the market is all I'm interested in, but I don't make it a primary decision for trading, because the fundamental data is too shallow for retail traders.

To get the real deal, you have to be heavy on subscription on most news sites for firsthand information.
As a trader, you have to balance your knowledge of Technicals and Fundamentals even if you don't get to trade both all the time.

AUDUSD- If price flips that zone at 0.7011, then it will join the sells, but if it doesn't It will continue the buys.

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@nsg_usd - 1 day ago
Quoted - asuquokelvin

GBP USD has already invalidated my setup since I trade only New York, it has delivered price during London so my setup on it has invalidated already so I'll be looking at EU for sells

GBPUSD- I'll be looking out for the retest of this flip zone at 1.3420 for the sell continuations, as price has invalidated the Trend support as I Expected using the Bearish BARR Top Pattern.

Quoted - nsg_usd

AUDUSD-Also to note, Australia is one of the world's largest gold-exporter, because they produce gold.

And that makes AUD correlation with XAU primarily positive, because the more revenue Australia earns from Gold, the more it strengthens the AUD currency.

The correlation is only different when investors are risk-on. Buying Gold and selling AUD, to insure against geopolitical risk.

So, it's best to assess both AUD and USD before concluding it's because of DXY that AUDUSD is buying. It's not always primarily the case.

Compare the both chart together, vix started falling from 26th June and AUDUSD started buying from 30th June, so what caused it if not fear, the vix is the fear guage and when vix is falling dollar weakness and then strengthen, untill we get to a more risk off environment below 15.0 level aud will still strengthen, and the vix fell from the 23.34 level and it's almost getting to 15 soon and that alone should tell that aud buys won't last for long

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@nsg_usd - 1 day ago
Quoted - nsg_usd

EURUSD TRADE PROJECTION

Timeframe: Weekly
Bias: Bearish
Technical Outlook: Price is still trading below the resistance level at 1.1469 for the 4th week now. This further confirms price readiness to continue it's downward move to the 1.1100 technical support region. Still expecting this pattern completion on the weekly.

EURUSD- Trade Setup

Bias: Bearish
Technical Outlook: Bearish Descending Channel

Price continued trading within the Intraday descending channel it formed last week.
Invalidation of the bearish flag formed within the descending channel, will present opportunity for the sells to continue further to the downside as shown in the charts.
Next level target will be 1.1380 for the sells.

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@nsg_usd - 1 day ago
Quoted - godspowerdan

I'll be looking out for sells too because price hasn't closed above that high with a full body candle

Yeah. I'm looking at it also.
On AUDUSD, I'll be looking at the retest of the 0.7010 flip zone for the sells to continue downwards.

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@nsg_usd - 1 day ago
Quoted - godspowerdan

GBPUSD is heavily bearish

I have been looking for a re-entry to join the sells. I think this will be the setup

Assuming I followed it up earlier today, wouldn't have miss it. I had it setup. I forgot to check it on time. But I'll be watching out for this pattern.

GBPUSD has good momentum on the sells than EURUSD and AUDUSD.

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