Market Analysis

G
@godspowerdan - 12 hours ago
Quoted - godspowerdan

Every setup needs a point where the idea is simply wrong.

For this EURGBP sell, I don't want to see price establish itself above the strong high around 0.8598.

If that happens, the bearish narrative I'm trading begins to lose validity.

Until then, I'm allowing the setup room to develop.

I'm watching 0.8582 first.

That's where the current weak low sits, and it's the nearest significant downside liquidity.

A clean break through that level would strengthen the bearish case and open the possibility of continuation toward the demand zone around 0.8574.

One objective at a time.

G
@godspowerdan - 12 hours ago
Quoted - godspowerdan

I'm watching 0.8582 first.

That's where the current weak low sits, and it's the nearest significant downside liquidity.

A clean break through that level would strengthen the bearish case and open the possibility of continuation toward the demand zone around 0.8574.

One objective at a time.

EURGBP โ€” THE DEMAND ZONE IS THE BIGGER OBJECTIVE

My final target isn't random.

There's a demand/POI sitting below current price around the 0.8574 region, and that's where I'm ultimately looking for this bearish move to deliver.

I'm effectively trading the move from one POI toward another POI.

Supply โ†’ liquidity โ†’ demand.

That's the idea behind this trade.

G
@godspowerdan - 12 hours ago
Quoted - godspowerdan

EURGBP โ€” THE DEMAND ZONE IS THE BIGGER OBJECTIVE

My final target isn't random.

There's a demand/POI sitting below current price around the 0.8574 region, and that's where I'm ultimately looking for this bearish move to deliver.

I'm effectively trading the move from one POI toward another POI.

Supply โ†’ liquidity โ†’ demand.

That's the idea behind this trade.

Now that I'm in the position, I don't want to micromanage every candle.

The setup was identified before entry.

The invalidation was identified before entry.

The target was identified before entry.

Constantly changing the plan because of every 15-minute candle usually creates more problems than it solves.

Let the trade breathe.

G
@godspowerdan - 12 hours ago
Quoted - godspowerdan

Now that I'm in the position, I don't want to micromanage every candle.

The setup was identified before entry.

The invalidation was identified before entry.

The target was identified before entry.

Constantly changing the plan because of every 15-minute candle usually creates more problems than it solves.

Let the trade breathe.

EURGBP SELL โ€” FULL TRADE IDEA ๐Ÿ“Š

EURGBP sell is officially active.

Direction: SELL ๐Ÿ“‰

Entry area: ~0.85936

Invalidation/SL: Above ~0.85980

First liquidity target: ~0.85820

Main target: ~0.85739

Price has retraced into my upper POI while the weak low remains exposed below. I'm looking for sellers to defend this area and deliver price toward the lower demand zone.

The analysis is done.

Now I manage the risk and let price decide the outcome.

N
@nsg_usd - 12 hours ago
Quoted - godspowerdan

This one stopped me out on BE because of NFP news. The manipulation on my MT5 is what got me stopped out

This can be painful.
I'll watch out for this pattern next week for sells.
If I'm taking it, I'll have my entry at 0.9410, SL-0.9426, and TP at 0.9369

G
@godspowerdan - 12 hours ago
Quoted - nsg_usd

was it during NFP?

Yes the manipulation happened during NFP

N
@nsg_usd - 12 hours ago
Quoted - godspowerdan

I missed EURUSD and GBPUSD sells yesterday

Sieving trades to take every day is becoming more of a skill lately. Cause to choose the best requires a lot of mental soundness.

N
@nsg_usd - 12 hours ago
Quoted - godspowerdan

I missed EURUSD and GBPUSD sells yesterday

And you'll just realize the ones that will stress you are the ones that will draw your attention.

N
@nsg_usd - 12 hours ago
Quoted - godspowerdan

My Silver setup comes down to three things:

Bias โ†’ Bearish ๐Ÿ“‰

POI โ†’ 66.126 area

Liquidity โ†’ Weak low at 63.139

If price respects the POI, Iโ€™m expecting another bearish leg targeting the liquidity sitting below.

This is why I often use Trendlines in cases like this because price can be giving bearish signal, but the timing will be different from when you expect it to sell. so, without invalidation of the trendline, I won't look for entry.

N
@nsg_usd - 11 hours ago
Quoted - godspowerdan

I'm selling towards the demand so i can buy from there with confirmation

The trend support will likely withstand the pressure. The sells for me would have been after price invalidates the trend support.

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