Market Analysis

My CADCHF sell is officially active.

The idea is based on price retracing into a higher-price POI after showing difficulty sustaining the previous bullish expansion.

My roadmap:

Retracement into POI → rejection → bearish expansion → lower liquidity → 0.5788 key level.

📉 Sell: ~0.58596

🛑 SL: ~0.58659

🎯 TP: ~0.57881

The position is on, risk is defined, and now the market gets the final say.

No prediction is guaranteed. My job is simply to execute the edge consistently.

US30 BUY SETUP 👀

US30 is approaching an area I'm interested in for potential buys.

Price has sold aggressively into the marked 1H demand zone, with liquidity resting around the weak low.

I'm not buying simply because price has reached demand.

I want to see how price reacts first.

15M confirmation is required before execution.

HIGHER TIMEFRAME LOCATION 📊

My US30 idea starts from the 1H timeframe.

Price is trading back into the demand that previously produced a significant bullish reaction.

That's enough to get my attention, but not enough to enter.

The higher timeframe gives me the location.

The lower timeframe will give me the entry.

LIQUIDITY FIRST 💧

There's a weak low sitting around the demand zone on US30.

That makes the area even more interesting.

I'd actually prefer to see price attack that liquidity before reversing rather than buying immediately.

Sweep the low.

Reject the demand.

Then show me bullish intent on the 15M.

That's the sequence I'm waiting for.

A demand zone is not automatically a buy signal.

Price can reach demand and keep falling straight through it.

That's why confirmation matters.

For this US30 setup, I want the zone to hold and then see the 15M structure transition from bearish to bullish.

Until then, I'm watching.

My confirmation model is simple:

1H: Price reaches demand

Liquidity: Weak low gets attacked/swept

15M: Bullish displacement appears

Structure: CHoCH/MSS to the upside

Entry: Retracement into the new bullish POI

If those conditions align, I'll have something worth executing.

US30 IS STILL BEARISH SHORT TERM 📉

This is important.

Price is currently delivering bearish order flow into my demand zone.

I'm not going to fight that momentum simply because I've drawn a grey box on the chart.

I need buyers to prove themselves.

A convincing 15M bullish structure shift would be my first indication that control may be changing hands.

US30 is getting close to the area where I'll start paying serious attention.

But this is where patience becomes even more important.

The closer price gets to my POI, the easier it becomes to anticipate the trade and enter too early.

My job isn't to predict the exact bottom.

My job is to wait for my model.

I'm preparing for both possibilities on US30.

Scenario A: Price sweeps the weak low, respects demand and gives 15M bullish confirmation → I'll look for buys.

Scenario B: Price breaks through demand with strong bearish displacement → no trade.

No confirmation = no entry.

Simple.

IF US30 CONFIRMS… 📈

If buyers successfully defend this demand and the 15M gives me the confirmation I'm looking for, there's room for price to retrace significantly higher.

I'm not interested in catching the exact low.

I'd rather sacrifice a few points and enter after the market proves my idea correct than anticipate a reversal that never happens.

Confirmation costs something.

So does being wrong.

US30 TRADE PLAN FOR THE WEEK 🎯

Here's what I'm watching:

Bias: Potential bullish reversal

HTF: 1H

POI: 1H demand around the 53,050–53,150 region

Liquidity: Weak low around 53,070

Confirmation TF: 15M

Trigger: Liquidity sweep + bullish CHoCH/MSS/BOS

Upside interest: 53,200 → 53,400+ initially

The idea is there, but I'm not in the trade yet.

I want to see US30 trade into demand, deal with the liquidity around the low, and then show me clear bullish confirmation on the 15-minute timeframe.

Bias gives direction.

Liquidity gives context.

POI gives location.

Confirmation gives execution.

US30- price is still bearish from my POV. Expecting the sells to drop down to 52700 price level.

I was only waiting to see a confirmation before i enter buys around that zone

Alright. No problem

Price is yet to break above the 15min high for the buy

Yeah that's the confirmation i am waiting for

GBPUSD SELL SETUP 📉

I'm watching GBPUSD for a potential sell today.

From the 4H down to the 1H, price has rallied back into a key level around 1.35528 and is beginning to react.

I have the bearish idea, but I still need confirmation before entering.

The higher timeframe gives me the location.

On the 4H, GBPUSD has returned to a level that previously produced significant bearish displacement.

Price is now testing that same area again.

That's enough to get my attention, but not enough to execute.

Dropping into the 2H, the reaction becomes clearer.

Price has rallied aggressively from the lows but is now struggling around the previous high near 1.35528.

This is where I start looking for evidence that the bullish retracement is running out of momentum.

The 1H chart is where the setup becomes more interesting.

Price has returned directly into the higher-timeframe level and is currently reacting from it.

But I'm not interested in predicting the exact top.

I want price to prove that sellers are taking control.