Market Analysis

USDCAD-the massive sells kicked in like I suspected. I caught the sells at the resistance.
Entry-1.3923, SL-1.3954, TP-1.37699.

Your sl is damn big 🥲

Silver is retracing into an area I’m interested in selling from. The broader structure remains bearish after the previous CHoCH and BOS, and price is now approaching my POI.

Entry: 66.126

SL: 66.923

TP: 63.139

The weak low below remains my primary draw on liquidity.

Silver has made a significant retracement from the 63.139 weak low, but I’m not interpreting the rally as a bullish reversal yet. Price is simply returning toward an area where I expect sellers could step back in.

I’m watching 66.126 for the sell.

My Silver setup comes down to three things:

Bias → Bearish 📉

POI → 66.126 area

Liquidity → Weak low at 63.139

If price respects the POI, I’m expecting another bearish leg targeting the liquidity sitting below.

The chart tells the story.

Silver initially gave a CHoCH, followed by a bearish BOS. Price then expanded lower and created a weak low around 63.139.

Now we're retracing.

Instead of chasing the bearish move at the lows, I’m waiting for price to come back to me.

XAGUSD Trade Plan 🥈

Sell: 66.126

Stop Loss: 66.923

Take Profit: 63.139

Risk ≈ 0.797

Potential reward ≈ 2.987

R:R ≈ 1:3.75

Defined risk with plenty of room on the downside if bearish order flow resumes.

One thing I’m paying attention to on Silver is the location of the strong high and weak low.

The high around 67.3 remains structurally protected while the low around 63.139 is weak.

That makes downside liquidity more attractive to me. I’m positioning around that narrative rather than simply selling because price looks high.

Silver has rallied considerably from the lows, but a strong retracement doesn't automatically mean the trend has changed.

Until price invalidates the bearish structure I'm working with, I'm treating this move higher as a potential opportunity to sell from premium.

66.126 is the area I'm watching.

Why am I bearish on XAGUSD?

We already have bearish structural confirmation on the chart. Price displaced lower, leaving liquidity at the weak low, and has now retraced significantly back toward my POI.

My expectation:

Retracement → POI → Bearish continuation → Weak low

Let's see how price reacts.

Silver is officially on my watchlist. 👀

The setup is clean, but I’m not interested in forcing the trade.

XAGUSD SELL

Entry: 66.126

SL: 66.923

TP: 63.139

R:R: ~1:3.75

If Silver gives me my execution criteria, I'll take it. If it doesn't, there will always be another setup.

Bias. Liquidity. POI. Execution. Risk management.

USDCHF BUY SETUP 📈

I’m watching USDCHF for a potential long.

Market structure remains bullish, and price is currently pulling back aggressively toward the discount area. The strong low below remains protected while the weak high above gives me a clear upside liquidity target.

Entry: 0.80772

SL: 0.80657

TP: 0.81567

Now I wait for price to reach my POI.

USDCHF is selling off hard right now, but that doesn’t automatically make me bearish.

Context matters.

The broader structure remains bullish, with previous BOS to the upside and a strong low around 0.80657.

I’m treating this drop as a potential retracement until structure tells me otherwise.

USDCHF TRADE PLAN 🇺🇸🇨🇭

Bias: Bullish 📈

Entry: 0.80772

Stop Loss: 0.80657

Take Profit: 0.81567

Risk: ~11.5 pips

Reward: ~79.5 pips

R:R: approximately 1:6.9

Very attractive R:R, but price still has to respect the setup.

USDCHF has left a weak high around 0.81567.

That's important.

In bullish order flow, I expect weak highs to eventually become targets for liquidity.

So instead of chasing price higher, I’m waiting for the current retracement to bring price into my POI before looking for continuation toward that high.

BIAS → LIQUIDITY → POI

My USDCHF idea is built around those three things.

Bias: Bullish

Liquidity: Weak high at 0.81567

POI: Around 0.80772

Invalidation: Below 0.80657

Simple framework. Defined risk. No need to complicate it.

USDCHF has already delivered multiple bullish breaks of structure.

Now we're seeing a sharp bearish displacement back into the range.

This is where patience becomes important.

I don't want to buy simply because price has fallen.

I want the retracement to reach my planned location and give me the opportunity I mapped out beforehand.

One of the biggest mistakes in trading is confusing a retracement with a reversal.

USDCHF is dropping aggressively, but the strong low hasn't been invalidated yet.

As long as my structural invalidation remains intact, I still have a reason to look for buys from my POI.

Let structure decide the bias, not the size of one bearish candle.

The beauty of planning the trade beforehand is that there’s very little decision-making left once price arrives.

For USDCHF:

Buy: 0.80772

SL: 0.80657

TP: 0.81567

If price respects my POI, I have the trade.

If the strong low fails, the idea is invalidated.

No attachment to either outcome.

USDCHF WATCHLIST 👀

Price is getting closer to the area where I want to do business.

The current bearish move is actually what I need to get the entry I want.

Bullish structure ✔️

Strong low ✔️

Weak high ✔️

Defined POI ✔️

Defined invalidation ✔️

Now comes the hardest part: waiting.