AUDUSD outlook

The CPI wasn't for dollar, what happened yesterday was a manipulation to crash us treasury bond , investors are seriously pulling out of treasury bond

AUDUSD is setting up for a potential bullish continuation. 📈

Price has shown strong bullish displacement and continues to hold its recent structure.

I'm waiting for a retracement rather than chasing the move.

Buy Limit: 0.71930

SL: 0.71902

TP: 0.72050

Potential: ~4.3R

AUDUSD has been printing a bullish narrative.

Strong expansion higher.

Higher prices being accepted.

Previous lows remaining protected.

Now I'm interested in buying the retracement around 0.71930.

Let price come to the level.

One thing I don't want to do here is chase AUDUSD.

Price has already expanded significantly from the lows.

I'd rather wait for a pullback into my POI, define my risk underneath it, and target the liquidity sitting above.

Entry: 0.71930

SL: 0.71902

TP: 0.72050

AUDUSD BUY LIMIT 🟢

Entry: 0.71930

Stop Loss: 0.71902

Take Profit: 0.72050

Risk: 1%

Potential RR: ~4.29R

The setup is there.

Now it's about having enough patience to wait for my price.

AUDUSD has given a strong bullish expansion, but bullish doesn't mean I should buy anywhere.

Location still matters.

I'm waiting for price to retrace toward 0.71930 before getting involved.

If the market runs without me, that's fine.

I'd rather miss a trade than chase one.

My AUDUSD plan is simple:

→ Bullish narrative

→ Strong displacement

→ Retracement into POI

→ Buy at 0.71930

→ Invalidation below 0.71902

→ Target 0.72050

Nothing complicated.

Wait for price. Execute the plan. Manage the risk.

There's liquidity sitting around the recent highs on AUDUSD.

That's where I'm expecting price to draw toward if the bullish structure continues.

But first, I want a retracement.

0.71930 → 0.72050 is the move I'm watching.

Approximately 4.3R potential.

The trade isn't at the current price.

That's important.

My bias can be bullish without me needing to press BUY immediately.

I have a specific location where the risk makes sense.

0.71930.

Until price gets there, I'm simply an observer.

AUDUSD trade idea for today:

Bias: Bullish 📈

Entry: 0.71930

SL: 0.71902

TP: 0.72050

Risk: 1%

RR: ~4.29R

Looking for the retracement to establish another higher low before continuation toward the highs.

AUDUSD BUY SETUP 🎯

Price has displaced strongly to the upside and the bullish narrative remains intact.

Rather than chasing price, I'm waiting for the retracement into my POI.

Entry: 0.71930

SL: 0.71902

TP: 0.72050

RR: ~4.29R

If the level holds, I'm targeting the liquidity above.

If the level fails, my risk is already defined.

No prediction. Just execution.

AUDUSD buy ❌

This one didn't work out.

Price triggered my buy around 0.71930, traded higher initially, but eventually reversed aggressively and took out my SL.

Entry: 0.71930

SL: 0.71902

TP: 0.72050

Loss accepted. On to the next.

Took the loss on AUDUSD.

The bullish setup initially reacted from my level and pushed higher, but buyers couldn't sustain the move.

Price eventually broke straight through my invalidation.

Nothing to do after that.

Thesis invalidated = I'm out.

AUDUSD is a perfect example of why I always define my risk before entering.

The setup looked good.

Price reacted.

It even moved in my direction.

Then everything changed.

Once 0.71902 was taken, the bullish idea was finished.

No hoping. No widening SL.

That reversal on AUDUSD was brutal. 😂

Price went from pushing toward my target to completely collapsing through the entry.

But this is exactly why one trade should never have enough risk to damage the account.

Small controlled loss.

Survive the bad trades so you're around for the good ones.

Price gave a strong reaction after entry but couldn't reach TP.

Eventually, the entire bullish move was erased.

This is trading.

A good reaction doesn't guarantee a winning trade. But this loss was sponsored by news though

One thing I won't do after this AUDUSD loss is immediately look for another buy just because my first idea was bullish.

Price has aggressively broken through the level that was supposed to hold.

That is new information.

I'll reassess the structure before taking another position.

No attachment to bias.

The AUDUSD setup actually shows why moving to BE can be such a difficult decision.

My recent USDCAD trade got stopped at BE and later reached TP.

This time, AUDUSD moved in my favor before completely reversing through SL.

Same management decision can produce completely different outcomes.

That's why trade management needs rules, not hindsight

AUDUSD reminded me of something important today:

An initial reaction from your POI doesn't mean the setup has succeeded.

Price can react beautifully, move into profit, and still reverse.

Until TP is reached, risk remains part of the trade.

Loss taken.

Journal updated.

Next setup.

I'm not judging this AUDUSD trade solely by the outcome.

The question I'll ask during review is:

Did the setup satisfy my rules when I entered?

If yes, then it's simply a losing trade within the system.

If I skipped a confirmation, then there's something to correct.

That's how I want to evaluate my losses.