AUDUSD outlook

To bearish as structure has shifted bias

alright. that miss has made me loss interest, but I'll still follow it up in case I see a good re-entry for the sell continuation down to 0.7089 support price level.

Price is at a Higher Timeframe Key zone, so despite it's bullish, it won't just break through but will first react before continuing the buys. so just be patient and avoid buys until it shows signs it wants to continue.

Price has turned bearish already

Yeah. Price intends to form a 4hr low at 0.7131 price level. This will show AUDUSD intends to push up for a 4hr reaction at the 0.7160.

without AU invalidating bearish 4hr channel it has formed this week, I'll either Join sells or wait for the buys to deepen downwards before looking for entries. preferably at the 0.7089 price level.

I'm expecting price to retrace higher

AUDUSD is selling aggressively. Expecting the drop down to 0.7080

AUDUSD SELL IS ACTIVE 📉

I’m currently in an AUDUSD sell after price retraced aggressively back into my POI. Despite the bullish retracement, my overall bias remains bearish following the CHOCH and shift in structure.

Entry: ~0.71668

SL: ~0.71806

TP: ~0.71214

R:R: ~1:3.29

Price is still around entry, so nothing has been decided yet.

AUDUSD trade update 👀

Price has returned to my entry after a strong retracement from the lows. I’m currently sitting around breakeven, but the original bearish thesis remains valid.

There’s a weak low around 0.7122 sitting below price, and that remains my primary liquidity target.

AUDUSD is testing my patience right now. 😅

The sell has triggered, but price is still hovering around my entry instead of immediately expanding lower.

That’s trading.

A valid setup doesn’t owe me instant profit. As long as my invalidation hasn’t been reached, I have to give the trade room to develop.

AUDUSD SELL SETUP

Bias: Bearish 📉

Entry: ~0.71668

Stop Loss: ~0.71806

Take Profit: ~0.71214

Risk: ~13.8 pips

Potential reward: ~45.4 pips

R:R: 1:3.29

Clear risk. Clear invalidation. Clear target.

Now I wait.

My AUDUSD sell is based on more than simply seeing price rally into resistance.

The market previously produced a bearish CHOCH, followed by expansion lower. Price has now retraced significantly back into my area of interest.

If the bearish order flow resumes, I’m expecting price to attack the weak low below.

One thing I’m learning to become comfortable with is seeing a trade sit around entry.

AUDUSD hasn't moved decisively in either direction yet, and that’s fine.

I don’t need to manufacture certainty from every candle. My job was to identify the setup, define my risk and execute. Now the market decides the outcome.

The weak low is my draw on liquidity. 🎯

AUDUSD has already established bearish structure, while liquidity remains below around 0.7122.

My sell is positioned for price to rotate from the current POI and eventually attack that low.

Until my stop is violated, that remains the scenario I’m working with

After the recent drawdown, I’m paying even more attention to how I manage trades psychologically.

This AUDUSD sell sitting around entry doesn't mean I should close early, widen my stop or start changing the plan.

SL stays at ~0.71806.

TP stays at ~0.71214.

Let the probabilities play out.

AUDUSD still at entry. ⏳

No major profit. No major loss. Just consolidation around my execution.

This is one of those moments where doing nothing is actually part of trading.

The bearish thesis remains intact, the weak low remains unswept, and my risk was defined before entering.

Patience.

AUDUSD sell officially running 📉

Entry: ~0.71668

SL: ~0.71806

TP: ~0.71214

R:R: ~1:3.29

Right now, price is basically sitting at my entry.

I’m not judging this trade based on what happens over the next few candles. Either price respects the bearish idea and trades toward the weak low, or my invalidation gets hit.

One setup. One predefined risk. No emotional adjustments halfway through.

Volume will slow down. It's tomorrow that the sells will kick in. I'll wait for the buys at 0.7140

Let's see how it goes na