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what happens to stock prices of EU companies if the Euro weakens? Replied 1 month ago - If tthe weakening of the euro is caused by inflation, the ECB may have to hike rates thus making it hard for EU companies to access loans for expansion so they may declare less profits and the stock price will fall
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hawkish vs dovish: what do these terms mean in finance? Replied 1 month ago - Hawkish is when those who formulate government fiscal policy (such as central banks) are leaning towards increasing interest rates. Dovish is the opposite.
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Why was September 2025 NFP not released as scheduled? Replied 1 month ago - The United States government has shut down due to Democrats & Republican politicians fighting over what and what not to include in their spending bill and this is why the NFP report wont be released today.
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What is JOLTS report in fundamental analysis? Replied 1 month ago - JOLTS (Job Openings & Labor Turnover Summary) is an American data survey that tells us the number of job vacancies and job resignation/separation for a given month in the United States nonfarm sector. Simply put, it tells us how many nonfarm job vacancies were available, what percentage of applicants were hired to fill the vacancies (hiring rate), and the resignations/separations that led to these vacancies. If the number of job vacancies for a month increases with respect to that of the last month, it is a good sign, but the hiring rate should also increase. Look at it this way, if the hiring rate drops, it could mean people are not willing to take the jobs or the companies are just advertising the jobs but not willing to employ people. If the JOLTS report is good (meaning more job vacancies and increased hiring rate etc.) we can expect the nonfarm payroll report to be good also. So, the JOLTS report is an indicator of what to expect when nonfarm payroll is released.
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which economic news has the most impact on forex? Replied 2 months ago - It could depend on the forex pair you are trading. For EUR/USD I guess Nonfarm Payroll has the capacity to rock the boat when it is released
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when is the next interest rate announcement in the UK? Replied 2 months ago - Thursday, September 18th, 2025.
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Is there a way to predict nfp direction? Replied 2 months ago - You can't predict it with 100% certainty but keeping up with united states economic news and reading newsletters from Bloomberg, Goldman Sacchs etc. can give you an idea of what nfp will look like
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disinflation vs deflation: which is better for a currency? Replied 4 months ago - inflation is good for currency.. deflation is bad. It's not that easy some currencies can thrive because of geopolitical situations. Being safe haven and all. But for currency traders the fundamentals don't matter if the trade timeline is intraday or even a swing trade.
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why is oil price dropping Replied 4 months ago - See screenshot of US Oil Inventory data gotten from the United States Energy Information Administration (EIA). You will notice a drop in inventory figures in the month of June. This can cause oil prices to drop too. Drop in inventory = More oil exports by the US = over supply = lower oil prices
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does unemployment rate affect the exchange rate of a currency? Replied 4 months ago - Yes, it does and that's why people trade USD pairs immediately after the Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) US jobs report is released every month. The us dollar exchange rate will mostly rise or fall depending on the content of the NFP report.
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is the heatwave in Europe going to affect financial markets? Replied 4 months ago - The heatwave in Europe is expected to end in a few weeks so I don't think it will do much damage to the economy of the affected countries. However, like Paul said, commodity prices will certainly rise.
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does foreign direct investment affect exchange rate? Replied 4 months ago - Sure, it does because for foreigners to invest in a country they have to convert their currency to that of that country. This means a higher demand for the local currency thus causing it to become stronger, This is why i always listen to news to be aware of government policy changes before trading a currency. Imagine that the US government enacts a policy to ban foreigners from owning homes in America, such a policy will weaken the US Dollar because it will reduce demand for the dollar.
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how do higher gas prices affect USD/CAD Replied 4 months ago - Higher gas prices will cause the USD/CAD exchange rate to drop because the U.S. consumes a lot of gas from Canada which they must pay for by converting the USD to CAD thus increasing demand for CAD and making it stronger. When the USD/CAD rate drops, it will cost less CAD to buy one USD, in other words the CAD has strengthened over the USD.
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when gold prices fall does it affect audusd sentiment? Replied 4 months ago - Australia is one of the largest producers and exporters of gold on the planet. They generate most of their revenue by selling gold so yeah, when gold prices rise, the Australian dollar becomes stronger and audusd sentiment shifts to bullish because it will then cost more USD to buy one AUD. However, when gold prices fall, audusd sentiment shifts to bearish because aud becomes weaker and it will cost less USD to buy one AUD.
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how does UK retail sales report affect gbp/usd pair? Replied 4 months ago - If the UK retail sales data shows that there has been an increase in sales, then the UK government is obviously going to earn more in Value Added Tax (VAT). When the UK earns more money from internally generated revenue such as VAT, it does not have to borrow or print more money & this reduces UK inflation. A reduced inflation leads to a stronger British Pound, just as fewer borrowing means no need to buy foreign currency to settle external debt (this also makes the Pound strong) In summary an increase in retail sales in the UK will make the GBP/USD exchange rate to rise so it will cost more USD to buy one GBP.
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which eurchf news can affect its price? Replied 4 months ago - News of Trade Wars between the United States & China have caused Swiss Franc to appreciate against other currencies in the past. When US & China were in a trade war, investors ran to the Swiss Franc for safety, and this caused the Swiss Franc to strengthen against the Euro; so, the EUR/CHF exchange rate fell to record lows.
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what factors affect natural gas prices in the uk Replied 4 months ago - When wind speeds in the North Atlantic Ocean reduce, wind turbines & other renewable energy sources which use wind as a source of power are unable to work at full capacity. This means UK & EU residents will have to rely more on natural gas for heat during the winter, thus increasing its demand & driving up the price.
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who determines the price of oil globally? Replied 4 months ago - Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) are the ones that ultimately determine the price of oil. When they want to increase oil prices, they simply ask all OPEC member states to cut production, thus reducing supply and increasing demand.
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if a New Zealand milk exporter increases its payout to dairy farmers will NZD/USD appreciate? Replied 4 months ago - Fonterra is a really big dairy exporter in New Zealand & they account for about 25% of all exports leaving New Zealand. So, if they indeed increase payout to dairy farms then investors will take it as a sign that the New Zealand economy is growing, and they will invest more in the New Zealand Dollar causing it to appreciate. So, short answer is yes, if Fonterra increases payment to farmers, then the NZD/USD exchange rate will rise meaning it will cost more USD to buy 1 NZD
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which U.S. public holidays affect banks & stock exchanges Replied 4 months ago - Today is a major holiday in the U.S. as they celebrate their independence. I am not going to trade the new york session because there will be poor liquidity and stop losses will be hit easily as the market tries to look for liquidity from clients
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